RickyNolascoTee

Arsenal Analysis: Dodgers Worst Pitches Of 2013

RickyNolascoTee

Fans are always analyzing which pitchers have the best and worst pitches, but we normally base that on nothing but our own feelings in the moment, so I decided to take a more objective look at things.

For a pitch to qualify for these rankings, I used a 200-pitch minimum for starters and a 50-pitch minimum for relievers. The metric used to measure pitch effectiveness is True Average (TAv), which is basically like wOBA … but on Baseball Prospectus. League average performance is set at .260, and the metric doesn’t include baserunning.

Additionally, to prevent the post from being solely numbers-based, and one that would have been mind-numbingly boring, I decided to provide visual evidence as well.

And yes, none of this factors in usage rate or sequencing or sample sizes. So just have fun with it.

Leggo.

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Worst Overall Pitches – Starters

Matt Magill – Fastball – .332


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Ricky Nolasco – Fastball – .303


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Edinson Volquez – Sinker – .301


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Worst Overall Pitches – Relievers

Josh Wall – Fastball – .595


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Peter Moylan – Sinker – .441


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J.P. Howell – Change – .415


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While the most frequently used pitch will always be hit a little harder than others, it’s never a good sign when said most frequently used pitch is being hit at an All-Star level by the opposition, which is basically what happened to our starting pitching trio. The relievers? More like a Hall Of Fame level. The first two are pretty obvious inclusions, and both aren’t with the team anymore. J.P. Howell is a surprise, but he didn’t use that change much last year, probably for a reason.

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Worst Individual Pitches

Fastball/Sinker/Cutter

Starters

Matt Magill – Fastball – .332
Ricky Nolasco – Fastball – .303
Edinson Volquez – Sinker – .301

Relievers

Josh Wall – Fastball – .595
Peter Moylan – Sinker – .441
Ronald Belisario – Fastball – .367

Curve/Slider

Starters

Hyun Jin Ryu – Curve – .290
Chris Capuano – Slider – .253
Edinson Volquez – Curve – .247

Relievers

Brandon League – Slider – .299
Peter Moylan – Slider – .284
Carlos Marmol – Slider – .243

Change/Split

Starters

Ricky Nolasco – Split – .289

Relievers

J.P. Howell – Change – .415

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Worst Pitch Of 2013

Hyun Jin Ryu – Curve – .290

Despite the fact that he has three other quality pitches to put opposing hitters off his curve, and despite the fact that he only throws it 9.5% of the time, it’s still the ninth-worst curve in the MLB out of 104 qualified pitchers.

Fortunately, he has other quality pitches that make him awesome and has apparently re-worked his curve in the off-season. It needed it.

Brandon League – Slider – .299

He only used his slider 9.4% of the time, so you would think he could get the drop on hitters once in a while. But most of the time he threw it, they hit it hard. His slider ranked 22nd in the MLB out of 210 qualifying pitchers, but increase the standards to 100 pitches thrown? He’s eighth out of 155. Yeesh.

That’s his out-pitch the league is hitting at an All-Star level.

So yeah, there’s a reason he’s the last man out of the pen.


About

Dodgers Digest Honolulu Bureau Chief


79 comments
DBrim
DBrim moderator

I have a 2.5 hour drive this afternoon, but luckily it matches up with when the game is going to start. Baseball!

Vin_Skully
Vin_Skully

All my positive energy that is not going towards Kershaw's back is going towards Beast-mode being back starting today. I am excite

Vin_Skully
Vin_Skully

Headed to the Nats home opener with some clients today so I can get out of work... If Zimmermann is not feeling better Matt Williams is going to use all bullpen. That is no way to run a home opener.

capnsparrow
capnsparrow

CoCo Crisp with the big fly walk off home run in the 12th inning

KMT59
KMT59

Early start time reminder 1:10 PST tomorrow and Saturday for you Dodger fans. Sure glad my doctor decided to have to go out of town and I had to reschedule my appointment for tomorrow...He must be a Dodgers fan ^_^

Purple Drank
Purple Drank

Tomorrow, Ethier will be the one who sits. But on Saturday against Bumgarner, I hope SVS is the one who actually plays LF

KMT59
KMT59

this was posted right before the new thread so I'm re-posting

Just activated my free version of MLBTV through directv...Talked to a representative and they said it will be free every year from now on

Lobo
Lobo

Captain America 2 is the best Marvel movie

HunterStricklandsOedipalComplex
HunterStricklandsOedipalComplex

"I've never seen pitching like this in 10 years," Monfort said. "We got a seasoned, veteran pitcher [Brett Anderson] for $8 or $9 million that's the same kind of gamble the Broncos took with Peyton Manning."

uh..

NoHitWin2008
NoHitWin2008

Assuming kemp is back tomorrow, who sits? Ether I'm guessing?

Lobo
Lobo

@capnsparrow  Oh I hope so.  I have to give him a detailed shot by shot overview of Captain America 2

Lobo
Lobo

@DBrim I'd love to see the grip for Kenley's cutter

capnsparrow
capnsparrow

@KMT59  i activated my shit too imma try the chrome extensions tomorrow and if that dont work ill just buy a proxy

DeucesWild
DeucesWild

Shit... I'm pretty late, or early maybe. Oh well, enjoy. G'night folks 

DodgersFan
DodgersFan

@DBrim it's gonna be weird when they're really good in a couple years

KMT59
KMT59

@capnsparrow @KMT59  Glad I'm out of market...going to try mlbtv 1st to get SNLA but if not then I'll do CSN bay area and use mlb audio 570 KABC

Lobo
Lobo

@Barney G @Lobo Goat threatened to kill me if I spoiled it.  I value my life more than I value ruining an awesome movie for other people

DeucesWild
DeucesWild

@Lobo Well played, sir. But I'm pretty sure Vader killed everyone