aj_ellis_catching_2013-04-09

A.J. Ellis to have surgery on left knee for meniscus tear, what now?

aj_ellis_catching_2013-04-09

In a reveal that seemingly came out of nowhere, the Dodgers official Twitter broke news that A.J. Ellis would be undergoing arthroscopic surgery on his left knee for a meniscus tear. He also underwent in operation for a meniscus tear in the same knee back in October of 2012.

There’s no information on his recovery timetable yet, but it depends a great deal what type of meniscus tear we’re looking at. For Ellis’ previous tear, he was given a timetable of six weeks and was ready to begin 2013. And while Derrick Rose famously was ruled out for the 2013-14 season with the tear, Russell Westbrook was on a typical timetable of 4-6 weeks.

So we’re not quite sure yet how much time we’re looking at without A.J. until they release more information or until the surgery actually happens. According to Dylan Hernandez though, we may be looking at the optimistic side of 4-6 weeks:

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Now about that move the Dodgers are talking about: This will inevitably be Tim Federowicz. I can’t imagine them bringing up Miguel Olivo when he was shown to be a clear fourth in the pecking order (and isn’t even on the 40-man roster).

Through 193 MLB plate appearances, T-Fed’s line checks in at .227/.283/.341/.624. Steamer doesn’t project much better, predicting a line of .224/.290/.343/.633. But the hope is that he’ll put up better numbers with consistent playing time. By comparison, Steamer projected Ellis to be a .235/.331/.340/.672 hitter and a 3.0 WAR player.

Defensively, A.J. was one of the better catchers in the league at controlling the run game in 2013, but was a mediocre pitcher framer, something he himself admitted to working on. The problem is that in limited time, T-Fed graded out even worse as a pitch framer and wasn’t as effective at throwing guys out. Drew Butera, expected to remain as the backup, is renowned as a plus defensive catcher. Of course, that comes with the downside of being one of the worst hitters in baseball history. No, really.

So while there doesn’t appear to be a massive drop-off in store at the position — it’s not like Ellis was hitting — it could get uglier if Federowicz doesn’t hit better than expected. Everything else at the moment points to a clear downgrade at the position going forward, and that doesn’t even factor in the potential effect this has on the pitching staff. Unfortunately, there’s just nothing available as far as catchers on other teams, so Butera/Fed is what we’ll have to make due with. Come back soon, A.J.



272 comments
TellMyWifeISaidHello
TellMyWifeISaidHello

So we learned last night that manny acta and dan haren need to move over cap'n has a new love in Tyler ogle

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

Do I write about Puig or Jeter today - Nation baseball writer's dilema

o0b00tz0o
o0b00tz0o

Do i remember correctly that Federowicz has one option left or am I confusing him with Dee? Should factor in deciding who gets called up if so, cuz Ned likes him.

DeucesWild
DeucesWild

If anyone that's on the fantasy league knows of anyone that wants to take over my team, please let me know. I've had to take my dad in for more treatments lately and fantasy baseball in comparison doesn't get my full interest. I don't want to disrupt the league, so I hope you can find someone!

ryus_hadouken
ryus_hadouken

Someone needs to photoshop Dodgers players into this in order for me to be happy:



LA_Woman
LA_Woman

:-( Our battery's broken. Get well soon, you guys. <3

MScottEiland
MScottEiland

Plaschke tomorrow:  "Puig's selfish and lazy inability to learn to catch as well as Johnny Bench, pitch as well as Greg Maddux, and steal bases as well as Tim Raines is the primary reason for the Dodgers being DOOMED this season--and I will *not* be quietly retracting this prediction in a column ten years from now when I admit that I had no clue about what was going on while making passive/agressive snipes at Puig.  Honest."


Well, he'd say the same thing in fifteen or twenty single sentence paragraphs, but you get the idea.  :-P

InsideThePark (Fulton County)
InsideThePark (Fulton County)

Catchers take longer from returning from a meniscus tear because of all the squatting and quick pop upright to throw out runners. I ain't an orthopedic dr. but we're not seeing A.J, in the lineup until June. And his comfort at the plate won't be until the All Star break. But the team is better WITH A.J. than without so as long as he's 100% in late August and September, I think the team will be okay.

Purple Drank
Purple Drank

If FedEx can be replacement level (and odds say he'll probably be better than replacement level), then the cost of AJ's injury IF HE'S OUT FOR 4-6 WEEKS will be like half a win. Plus, as I note on my site, perhaps AJ can be a bit fresher come August, September, and October

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

Dee did put on 25lbs this offseason, and there are no more plate collisions. 

P_F_P
P_F_P

So, from now on, just don't turn on the show "LOS ANGELES DODGERS BASEBALL SEASON" until June, I guess?

ALVX
ALVX

It might be time to convert Kenley back into a catcher

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

I don't think we have another catcher in the entire system besides TFed

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

@Purple Drank  I have to admit, I like AJ for reasons separate from his baseball measurables. THe fact that he has always had a decent OBP has masked the fact that I just like him, despite his ability.

TheReggieHurley
TheReggieHurley

@Purple Drank  this is true. one player out for 2 months doesn't make a huge difference in wins. The wilson injury makes probly no difference at all. Kershaw stings since we are replacing him with some piece of crap, but still tolerable. Hopefully billingsley comes back strong and kemp,hanley,puig stay healthy. 

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

the real question is can Either play catcher?

TellMyWifeISaidHello
TellMyWifeISaidHello

But we aren't replacing kershaw with crap. We are replacing him with a 1-2 win pitcher

capnsparrow (Actual top vote getter for POY)
capnsparrow (Actual top vote getter for POY)

@Dustin Nosler @capnsparrow  I was online and heard the 66ers call but I agree with ya. Although they have beeen havin so many technical difficulties he prolly wasnt actually on the air when it happened. He keeps saying they will have it ironed out by the time they get back from the road trip. 

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

Plus only Kimberly of the Barves is better

DeucesWild
DeucesWild

@LA_Woman A hopeful and likely scenario, but I just like them both so much that it really stings when it's both at once. These are my 2 favorite current Dodgers, so it really sucks