Dodgers @ D’Backs August 27, 2014: Scott Van Slyke’s Best-Case Scenario

You know me, and you know I put very, very little importance on pitcher-vs-batter stats. One pitcher doesn’t face one batter enough to generate any kind of real sample size, and even if you could, that means that it took place over so many years as to render most of the data irrelevant.

Dodgers
D’Backs
6:40 p.m. PT
Phoenix, Ariz.
2B
Gordon
CF
Inciarte
CF
Puig
3B
Pennington
RF
Kemp
2B
Hill
SS
Ramirez
LF
Trumbo
LF
Van Slyke
RF
Marte
1B
Turner
1B
Pacheco
C
Ellis
C
Gosewich
3B
Rojas
SS
Gregorius
P
Kershaw (L)
P
Miley (L)

99 percent of the time, I believe that fully. Tonight is the other one percent of that: Scott Van Slyke has faced Wade Miley 19 times in his career, and he has four homers, three doubles and three walks. Three of those home runs came just this year alone, one in Australia in March, one in Los Angeles in April, and another in Arizona in May. In order to overcome sample size issues, you need some pretty overwhelming performance, and that’s what we’ve seen when these two meet. None of that guarantees that Van Slyke won’t simply go 0-4 tonight, but it’s certainly a push in the right direction.

Justin Turner gets a start at first base, and I really like the idea of giving Adrian Gonzalez a day off in a week that already has two off days. That’s three days off out of four for Gonzalez, who has played 44 more innings than any other Dodger, and that should set him up nicely for September.

Oh, and Clayton Kershaw is pitching. He’s really, really good. I don’t know, I just can’t take the Diamondbacks seriously. They’ve been a joke all year long, they looked horrendous last night… we should probably never underestimate a major league team, obviously. But man, does this feel like an exhibition before the real stretch run starts.

In more important new: Hyun-jin Ryu threw a two-inning simulated game and reported no pain, which is outstanding. He’ll likely return to the rotation in a few days, though we don’t yet know when; I imagine the exact timing will be less about him being ready and more about whatever kind of roster games Ned Colletti wants to do before the expansion happens on Sept. 1.

Wed 10/1Thurs 10/2Fri 10/3Sat 10/4Sun 10/5Mon 10/6Tues 10/7
RP. Baez--12-26
LS. Elbert--9-11
RC. Frias---
LJ.P. Howell--109-8
RK. Jansen--20-
RB. League--212-21
RB. Wilson---9
RJ. Wright---

About

Mike wrote daily for over six long years (2007-13) about the Dodgers at Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness, which was named 2011′s “Best Sports Blog” by LA Weekly. He can currently be found writing multiple times per week at FanGraphs and ESPN, has been a producer and editor for Sports on Earth, and built The Hardball Times. He lives in New York City and will probably be asleep or on vacation when awesome things happen.


925 comments
BIah
BIah

Not that it matters very much but Kershaw has sole possession of the MLB Wins lead at 16 now

dappler218
dappler218

Time to switch over to the Gnats game....

Birdman79
Birdman79

Anyone else think ESPN is a joke?

ALVX
ALVX

taking care of business

nsxtasy
nsxtasy

BIG NASTY REDHEAD!!!

Hi LA_Woman.

KMT59
KMT59

Kershaw: 8 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB,  10 K's, 109 Pitches 73 Strikes


3rd Inning: Dee! Single & SB, Puig BB, Matty!! Double & 2 RBI thrown out 8-6-5, SVS!!!! Home Run, 3-0 BLUE!!!!


3 - 1 FINAL 


9 straight series wins on the road against NL West teams

KMT59
KMT59

Dodgers 55 - 18 when scoring 1st, 70 - 5 when leading after 7,

22 - 17 in 1 Run Games,

5 - 5  last 10 games .500,  22 - 14 Post ASB Record .611 Finally over .600!!!

18 games above .500,

42  -  26  16 games over .500 on the road

Magic Number 25


24 - 17 - 3 for the season series record

Swept the Series!!!! 

efb
efb

Would you rather have Kersh or Trout

dappler218
dappler218

Who has the better cutter? Mariano Rivera (before he retired) or KJ?

nsxtasy
nsxtasy

@KMT59 Below you said 5-5 last 10 games but this says 6-4.  :P

BIah
BIah

that will help with the MVP votes

nsxtasy
nsxtasy

@LA_Woman I beat you to it.  With a shoutout to you, too.  See below.  :) 

0ptimus
0ptimus

@efb My heart says Kershaw, my brain says Trout

Lobo
Lobo

@dappler218 Rivera used that one pitch for nearly 20 years.  Can't beat that