Dodgers @ Marlins June 26, 2015: Welcome Back, Pedro Baez

Short thread tonight.

Dodgers
Marlins
4:10 p.m.
Miami, Fla.
CF
Pederson
2B
Gordon
2B
Kendrick
LF
Yelich
3B
Turner
SS
Hechavarria
1B
Gonzalez
RF
Stanton
RF
Van Slyke
CF
Ozuna
LF
Guerrero
1B
Baker
SS
Rollins
3B
Dietrich
C
Ellis
C
Realmuto
P
Anderson (L)
P
Nicolino (L)

Pedro Baez is back! He has been excellent this year (1.76 ERA, 1.68 FIP, 2.10 xFIP) in his 15-1/3 innings of work. While his improvement requires further analysis, a lot of it can be traced back to him gaining 2mph on his fastball (and increasing his swinging strike rate from 10% to 15%). One of the reasons why I didn’t like him much last year was because he allowed a lot of fly balls (0.76 GB/FB ratio). This year, that ratio has improved to a shade over 1, which isn’t great but is still much better and should lead to fewer home runs as long as he can keep this up. Baez showed signs of greatness last year, but there were a lot of red flags. So far this year, those red flags are gone.

Baez’ arrival is occurring at the right time. The bullpen has been very busy lately. Kenley Jansen and Joel Peralta are probably not available tonight after throwing in the final three games in Chicago. Baez will be much more trustworthy than Ian Thomas would have been (Thomas was optioned to make room on the roster).

Also, I have never heard of tonight’s Marlins starter (Justin Nicolino), though he was rated the number 3 Marlins prospect by Baseball America last year. His changeup is apparently excellent (B.A. called it the best in the Southern League in 2014). This is Nicolino’s second major league start. In his first, he pitched seven scoreless innings against the Reds, striking out two and walking two. In addition to the change, Nicolino has a 90mph sinker, a hard slider, and a 12-6 curve. Nicolino is left-handed, and apparently this means that Yasmani Grandal and A.J. Ellis are in a strict platoon, because Ellis is starting for the second game in a row. Unfortunately, Yasiel Puig is sitting for the third game in a row due to his hand callous.

ThrowsRelieverSat 10/15Sun 10/16Mon 10/17Tue 10/18Wed 10/19Thur 10/20Fri 10/21
LAvilan--OFF-2421OFF
RBaez34-OFF-2727OFF
RBlanton28-OFF13-19OFF
LDayton3-OFF16-12OFF
RFields--OFF-910OFF
RJansen-18OFF21--OFF
RStripling10-OFF-2018OFF
LWood--OFF-32-OFF

About Daniel Brim

Daniel Brim
Daniel Brim grew up in the Los Angeles area but doesn't live there anymore. He still watches the Dodgers and writes about them sometimes.