Projected 2017 Dodgers’ lineup

Is there any doubt who the Dodgers' right fielder will be in 2017? (By: Dustin Nosler)

Is there any doubt who the Dodgers’ right fielder will be in 2017? (By: Dustin Nosler)

It’s hard to project anything in baseball, especially something like a 2017 lineup. But that’s what I’m going to do here.

I usually attach this at the end of my prospect write-ups, but I wanted to go a little more in depth here. It takes into account who is currently in the farm system and who is on the big league roster. It doesn’t project trades or free agent signings.

Baseball America does this exercise yearly.

Catcher
Seeing as the Dodgers don’t have a ton of catching depth, and A.J. Ellis would be entering his age-36 season, and there’s no guarantee his body is going to hold up, the Dodgers’ 2017 catcher might have to come from within the system. It’s either that or the 2017 catcher isn’t yet with the organization.

Options
A.J. Ellis: Will be 36 and would be an unrestricted free agent; might be backup-quality by then.
Kyle Farmer: Conversion prospect, will be 26 and there’s no telling if he’ll still be a viable option.
Tim Federowicz: Will be 29 and has always profiled as a backup.
Pratt Maynard: Second-most promising prospect, will be 27 and has athleticism; needs to hit.
Spencer Navin: The best defender of this group, will be 24, needs to prove he can hit.

2017 catcher: Navin

Navin’s defensive ability alone gives him the advantage. While he’s logged all of 25 professional late appearances, the Dodgers drafted him in the 11th round and gave him $200,000 more than the slot recommended bonus. They obviously see something in him and, at worst, he should be a standout defender they could bat in the No. 8 spot (if there’s no DH in the National League by then; sad).

First base
Adrian Gonzalez can’t do it forever, but if the Dodgers are looking for a replacement to come from within the farm system, they’re probably out of luck. Gonzalez will be 35 by the time 2017 rolls around, and will have two years remaining on his contract (worth $43 million — $21.5 million per season).

Options
Cody Bellinger: Most potential of anyone on this list, will be only 21 years old and could be heir apparent to Gonzalez.
Justin Chigbogu: Most power potential of any 1B in the system, will be only 22, but most likely trade bait.
O’Koyea Dickson: Would have to do something amazing in the next few years to even be considered, will be 27.
Adrian Gonzalez: Unless the Dodgers want to trade him, he isn’t going anywhere, even if he will be 35.

2017 first baseman: Gonzalez

Ned Colletti perused Gonzalez for years before finally getting him in 2012. There’s no real reason for the Dodgers to think about moving, especially since they don’t know what they have in Bellinger and/or Chigbogu. It’s a safe bet that one of them will replace Gonzalez come 2019. Then again, that could just be my optimism regarding the prospects.

Second base
The Dodgers signed Alex Guerrero for one reason: to be their second baseman of the future. After a slow start in winter ball following his October signing, Guerrero might be back on track. He’s drawn positive reviews in spring training thus far and is the odds-on favorite to open the season at second.

Options
Erisbel Arruebarruena: Recent import (unofficially) would be an elite defender at second, will be 27.
Alex Guerrero: Will be 30 and entering the last year of his 4-year, $28 million deal.
Darnell Sweeney: Converted shortstop has decent power/speed combo, will be 26, likely a backup.
Jesmuel Valentin: Slick fielder who can walk has a decent chance, will be just 23.

2017 second baseman: Guerrero

It isn’t likely any of the others listed above would be able to out-hit Guerrero, while Arruebarruena and Valentin could certainly out-field him. But, the Dodgers can live with maybe average defense in return for the above-average offense.

Third base
This might be the most interesting position. While Juan Uribe will either be a former Dodger or merely a bench player in 2017, third base could end up being a position of strength after being a weakness for nearly a decade.

Options
Hanley Ramirez: Could move to third in future, unsigned beyond 2014, will be entering age-33 season.
Alex Santana: Former second-rounder could make some noise, but could also be destined for the outfield; will be just 23.
Corey Seager: If they keep Ramirez and move him, Seager could be the shortstop; will be 23.

2017 third baseman: Ramirez

This was tough, but I think Ramirez might fit better at third base in his age-33 season. While he obviously feels more comfortable at shortstop, his frame might not allow him to stay there into his mid-30s. This also assumes a lengthy, lucrative contract extension is reached sooner rather than later.

Shortstop
Ramirez is firmly entrenched as the team’s shortstop, and the signing of Arruebarruena does nothing to change that for 2014 (or 2015). But the Dodgers have a lot more depth up the middle than they did two years ago.

Options
Erisbel Arruebarruena: Easily the best glove, must prove he can hit, will be 27.
Cristian Gomez: Only 42 pro games, could move to second base, will be just 21 and in the minors.
Hanley Ramirez: Already chosen as the 2017 third baseman, could play short in a pinch.
Corey Seager: Would be biggest regular SS in MLB history, plus bat, will be 23.
Lucas Tirado: Will be just 20 and probably still working his way up the minor-league ladder.

2017 shortstop: Seager

The Dodgers could conceivable flip-flop Ramirez and Seager, but I’m thinking a 23-year-old Seager might fare better at shortstop than a 33-year-old Ramirez. Both should be well above-average hitters at either position.

Left field
The Dodgers have all of the outfielders, and they might have all of the outfielders in 2017. All of the big four are signed through at least that season, but only one can be the left fielder. Crawford and Ethier are slated to share left field duties in 2014.

Options
Carl Crawford: Limited to left, will be 35 and entering the last year of his contract (worth $21 million).
Andre Ethier: Can play all three spots, but profiles best in left, will be 35 with at least $20 million left on his deal.
Matt Kemp: Not much of a center fielder, and won’t be in three years, will be 32 and owed $64.5 million on his deal.

2017 left fielder: Kemp

Kemp has the largest deal and the most talent. A move to left field should benefit him, provided he stays healthy. Come 2017, one of Ethier or Crawford will have already been traded (long ago), while the other will likely be on his way out (probably before 2017).

Center field
Kemp is the best option for the 2014 Dodgers, if he can run. Ethier filled in admirably last season, but he isn’t a realistic option come 2017.

Options
Matt Kemp: Will presumably lose some range and profile better in a corner.
Joc Pederson: This is the Dodgers’ CF of the future, will be 25 and just about to enter his prime.

2017 center fielder: Pederson

This was the easiest choice. While Pederson might not be the best center fielder to ever put on a uniform, he’s plenty capable of handling the position adequately and should provide at least average offensive output. In 2017, Pederson will, in theory, be entering his first year of arbitration.

Right field
The Dodgers have some interesting prospects for the corner outfield spots (Joey Curletta, Jacob Scavuzzo, Scott Schebler), but none of them have the talent Yasiel Puig does. He is the Dodgers’ right fielder and should be for many years to come.

Options
Joey Curletta: Big power and arm, will be 23 and challenging for MLB playing time.
Yasiel Puig: Will be in the sixth year of his 7-year deal, provided he doesn’t opt for arbitration after the 2015 season (he probably will).
Jacob Scavuzzo: Will be 23, loud tools, might end up in left.
Scott Schebler: Same age as Puig, but not the same talent level, likely trade bait.

2017 right fielder: Puig

This is a no-brainer. Puig will be just 26 and entering his prime. If his 2013 season is any indication, the Dodgers and their fans should be in for a treat in 2017 (and likely sooner).

Player Position
Joc Pederson CF
Yasiel Puig RF
Hanley Ramirez 3B
Matt Kemp LF
Adrian Gonzalez 1B
Alex Guerero 2B
Corey Seager SS
Spencer Navin C

Next up: Projected 2017 pitching staff


About

Dustin Nosler began writing about the Dodgers in July 2009 at his blog, Feelin’ Kinda Blue. He co-hosts a weekly podcast with Jared Massey called “Dugout Blues.” He graduated from California State University, Sacramento, with his bachelor’s degree in journalism and a minor in digital media. While at CSUS, he worked for the student-run newspaper The State Hornet for three years, culminating with a 1-year term as editor-in-chief. He resides in Stockton, Calif., and has yet to be shot.


1147 comments
efb
efb

omg did you guys hear that Mattingly is thinking about a platoon and 2B and that he thinks Joc's swing is like Cano's!!!!??!!RTRTRTRTRTRTR

Disgruntled Goat
Disgruntled Goat moderator

my mind is gonna be blown if dustin's projected lineup from 3 years ago has hanley and agon in it. 

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

I know it is not something I should have noticed, but what is up with the dot on Goats crotch?

Dave! (Or Justin Turner, Maybe)
Dave! (Or Justin Turner, Maybe)

@Disgruntled Goat I can't believe that in 2011, Dustin didn't know Hanley would be the starting shortstop & A-Gon the starting 1st baseman. And not a single mention of Puig! Why do we listen to this guy, he sucks.

Dustin Nosler
Dustin Nosler moderator

Some of those really suck. Thanks for not coming through, prospects.

Also, thanks to Guggenheim for buying the team.

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

you should have let Dustin repost it, to also respect the spirit of DK, especially when he reposts it anytime the word projection is used in a sentence.

ABSmileBunch
ABSmileBunch

I know you made one with goat pining for drank, but maybe drank pining for goat would be more appropriate and would be more consistent with their music video.

Dustin Nosler
Dustin Nosler moderator

From 7-7, I'm on my phone. Apologies if I miss things.

Barney (Not Darwin)
Barney (Not Darwin)

@steelmohawk Now that he found some blog to allow him to be a contributor, we'd better expect a lot of Dee Gordon "is the next Davey Lopes" posts.

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

I am going to interpret this statement as an attack on the late Steve Jobs and his technologies.

ABSmileBunch
ABSmileBunch

@Disgruntled Goat @TheConman@ABSmileBunchI do like the idea that they both really want to be together, but can't seem to connect...Drank sings about goat, goat stares longingly at a picture of drank...but they never actually get to be together...it's like a sad romantic drama that will leave us all heartbroken.


I wish Blah would write some fan fiction along these lines.