How Dodgers’ hitters and pitchers fared ‘After 0-2’

I was listening to a recent episode of Effectively Wild, (Baseball Prospectus podcast), and one topic being discussed was the “After 0-2” split.

Sam Miller brought it up and focused on the pitchers, but I’m even more fascinated how the Dodgers’ hitters fared after they got down 0-2. Let’s be clear: These stat lines aren’t going to be pretty. Being in an 0-2 hole as a hitter is the worst place one can be. The triple slashes will be ugly, as will the walk-to-strikeout ratios. When looking at the triple slash lines, keep in mind the National League average (overall) in 2014 was .249/.312/.383.

*Tables are sortable by clicking the column head*

Dodger Hitters After 0-2 (minimum 40 plate appearances)

PlayerBAOBPSLG2B3BHRBBKPA
Dee Gordon.210.226.322731254146
Justin Turner.203.282.20300062771
Andre Ethier.191.211.30912113171
Matt Kemp.185.189.287801255111
Hanley Ramirez.182.234.25030133894
Adrian Gonzalez.177.191.257302145115
Carl Crawford.175.213.19310022362
Scott Van Slyke.159.229.22730033048
Juan Uribe.153.153.23630103572
Drew Butera.143.192.16310012252
Yasiel Puig.128.196.202401651102
A.J. Ellis.125.186.17200142770

And for good measure, here are the After 0-2 numbers for the three new starters.

PlayerBAOBPSLG2B3BHRBBKPA
Yasmani Grandal.233.267.43050433390
Howie Kendrick.223.246.314502442126
Jimmy Rollins.154.180.205301342122

It should come as no surprise the high-contact guys (Gordon, Kendrick) are near the top of the list. I was a little surprised to see Grandal do so well after an 0-2 count. And to see Uribe not draw a walk after going down 0-2 classic Uribe.

There isn’t a ton of information to be drawn from these numbers. Sure, some hitters will shorten up on an 0-2 count as to not throw away the at-bat, but there are some guys who don’t change their approach much. The 0-2 hole is the biggest disadvantage a hitter can face, so to see some guys have success is nice to see. It also isn’t surprising to see guys struggle mightily. The Dodgers don’t have any guys — past or present — near the top of the After 0-2 list.

And here’s the pitcher side of the ledger.

Dodger Pitchers After 0-2 (minimum 39 plate appearances)

PlayerBAOBPSLG2B3BHRBBKPA
Clayton Kershaw.116.128.1693123128211
Zack Greinke.121.155.207304690181
Kenley Jansen.127.138.21540115380
Josh Beckett.149.190.181300341100
Hyun-jin Ryu.153.178.218311462129
Chris Perez.163.159.39510301444
Dan Haren.169.183.254402157120
Jamey Wright.185.203.27730102969
Brian Wilson.200.234.26700121847
Paul Maholm.293.356.51230231445

It’s far from surprising to see the best pitchers near the top of this list. What is astounding is that Kershaw got ahead of hitters 0-2 in 211 plate appearances and struck out almost 61 percent of those hitters. Greinke gave up 21 hits after 0-2, a third of which went for extra bases. He also walked six hitters and still had some of the best numbers of any pitcher on the team not named Kershaw. And poor Maholm. Hitters flourished after getting down 0-2 because Maholm is not a good pitcher and does not have a swing-and-miss pitch.

And the new additions:

PlayerBAOBPSLG2B3BHRBBKPA
Joel Peralta.085.097.11320013672
Brandon McCarthy.154.167.213801393194
Chris Hatcher.158.158.26330103657
Juan Nicasio.159.159.24421103282
Mike Bolsinger.191.191.23420002447
Brett Anderson.250.282.27810021239

– Minimum 39 plate appearances, so Anderson could be included

Peralta — despite not having anything close to elite stuff — shut hitters down after 0-2, which included a 50 percent strikeout rate. His batting average against was 11th-best among qualified pitchers in baseball. It’s nice to see Hatcher, Nicasio and Bolsinger didn’t walk anyone after getting ahead 0-2, but they paid for it by allowing some extra base hits. It’s a little more impressive for Nicasio since most of his data came from his time as a starter last season.

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This may or may not mean anything (I’m leaning toward the latter). It’s just kind of fun to look at, since we don’t really think about this a lot. Sure, a hitter gets down 0-2 and it seems the at-bat is over, but it’s interesting to see numbers put to it.

About Dustin Nosler

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Dustin Nosler began writing about the Dodgers in July 2009 on his blog, Feelin' Kinda Blue, and co-hosted a weekly podcast with Jared Massey called Dugout Blues. He was a contributor/editor at The Hardball Times and True Blue LA. He graduated from California State University, Sacramento with a bachelor’s degree in journalism and a minor in digital media. While at CSUS, he worked for the student-run newspaper The State Hornet for three years, culminating with a one-year term as editor-in-chief. He resides in Stockton, California.