
We’re into the Top 40, and you’re going to see some of familiar names, but also some new ones. There’s a non-zero chance all these guys make it to the majors one day.
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Previous Entries
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I’ve included Future Value (FV) grades and risks for the Top 50 prospects. For example, if a guy gets a “50 low,” he has a really good chance to be an average player at his position. If a guy gets a “55/High,” there’s a good chance he won’t reach that ceiling, but the potential is there. The grades are 20-80 (50 is average), and the risks are as follows:
- Low: Players who are usually older, have debuted, are relievers and/or have higher floors than ceilings
- Medium: Players who are a mix of younger and older, usually have higher floors
- High: Players who are usually younger with potential, but also question marks
- Extreme: Players who are generally younger with star potential, but a ton of question marks
This is to show what value a player might provide at the MLB level. The higher the risk, the less likely a player will reach that ceiling.
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Editor’s Note: I am not a scout (#notascout). I am an amateur when it comes to evaluating players. I don’t claim to be a pro, I just want to pass along the information I observe/obtain to the people. Notes and comments are based on personal observation (though, not this year), talking to sources, reading scouting reports and watching video. For future entries in this series: All ratings in the charts below are on the standard 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is roughly average, 80 is elite and nearly unattainable and 20 is unacceptably poor. Enjoy.
Other Notes: “Role” is a realistic future role (slightly optimistic in some cases). Age is the 2021 season age for the player (June 30 is the cutoff date).
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40. 3B/1B Cristian Santana
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’2 | 211 | 24 | Defense | IFA: Dominican, ’14 | Backup CIF | Double-A Tulsa/Triple-A OKC | 2021 |
Strengths
- Potential plus-defense at third base
- Above-average power
- Elite bat speed
Weaknesses
- Aggressiveness limits potential
- Trouble elevating
- Could struggle against advanced pitching
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Hit | 35 | 45 |
| Power | 50 | 55 |
| Speed | 45 | 40 |
| Defense | 50 | 55 |
| Arm | 70 | 70 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | Extreme |
39. RHP Osvanni Gutierrez
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’2 | 180 | 19 | Fastball | IFA: Cuba, ’19 | Back-end SP | AZL Dodgers | 2024 |
Strengths
- Uptick in velo (90-93 MPH)
- Potentially plus-changeup
- Impressed at instructional league
Weaknesses
- Still raw on mound
- Breaking ball lagging behind Cer offerings
- Lacking experience
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Fastball | 35 | 55 |
| Curveball | 25 | 50 |
| Changeup | 35 | 55 |
| Command/Control | 30 | 55 |
| Delivery | 40 | 50 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | Extreme |
38. RHP Hyun-il Choi
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’2 | 200 | 21 | Fastball | IFA: South Korea, ’19 | No. 4/5 SP | Low-A Rancho Cucamonga | 2023 |
Strengths
- Fastball slightly above-average velo with movement
- Deceptive delivery
- Advanced command/control for age
Weaknesses
- Physically maxed out
- Lacks true out pitch
- Limited ceiling
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Fastball | 40 | 55 |
| Slider | 35 | 50 |
| Changeup | 35 | 50 |
| Command/Control | 40 | 55 |
| Delivery | 40 | 50 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | High |
37. SS/3B Leonel Valera
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’2 | 200 | 21 | Arm | IFA: Venezuela, ’15 | Utility IF | High-A Great Lakes | 2023 |
Strengths
- Above-average power potential
- Strong arm at both SS/3B
- Above-average runner for size
Weaknesses
- Hit tool lacking
- Plate discipline a problem
- Lack of upper-level experience
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Hit | 25 | 40 |
| Power | 30 | 50 |
| Speed | 55 | 55 |
| Defense | 35 | 50 |
| Arm | 60 | 60 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | Extreme |
36. LHP Alex Vesia
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’1 | 209 | 25 | Changeup | Trade w/ MIA Feb. ’21 | 6th/7th inning | Triple-A OKC/LA | Debuted 2020 |
Strengths
- Changeup misses bats
- Unique fastball
- Slider has potential
Weaknesses
- Rocked in MLB debut
- Undersized, but not dissimilar from other Dodger LHPs
- Command/control needs work
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Fastball | 50 | 55 |
| Slider | 45 | 45 |
| Changeup | 60 | 60 |
| Command/Control | 40 | 45 |
| Delivery | 45 | 45 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | High |
35. 3B/1B Brandon Lewis
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’3 | 220 | 22 | Power | 4th round, ’19 | 2nd-division CIF | High-A Great Lakes | 2023 |
Strengths
- Light-tower power
- Makes a lot of contact
- Untapped potential
Weaknesses
- Might not be a 3B (arm and mobility)
- Adrian Gonzalez-esque runner
- Conditioning needs monitoring
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Hit | 40 | 55 |
| Power | 45 | 60 |
| Speed | 30 | 25 |
| Defense | 35 | 45 |
| Arm | 40 | 45 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | High |
34. 2B/3B Devin Mann
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’3 | 202 | 24 | Hit | 5th round, ’18 | Utility IF | Double-A Tulsa/Triple-A OKC | 2022 |
Strengths
- Good bat-to-ball skills
- Serviceable defensively at 2B/3B
- Untapped power
Weaknesses
- Limited ceiling
- Power late developing
- Not much of a runner
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Hit | 45 | 50 |
| Power | 35 | 50 |
| Speed | 45 | 40 |
| Defense | 45 | 50 |
| Arm | 50 | 50 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | High |
33. OF/1B Zach Reks
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’2 | 190 | 27 | Hit | 10th round, ’17 | 4th OF/LH PH | Triple-A OKC/LA | 2021 |
Strengths
- Hit tool above-average
- Improved power potential
- Good plate discipline
Weaknesses
- Limited defensively
- Older for a prospect
- Power will determine value
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Hit | 45 | 50 |
| Power | 45 | 50 |
| Speed | 45 | 45 |
| Defense | 45 | 45 |
| Arm | 45 | 45 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | Medium |
32. RHP Nick Robertson
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’7 | 240 | 22 | Fastball | 7th round, ’19 | Late-inning RP | High-A Great Lakes/Double-A Tulsa | 2022 |
Strengths
- Borderline plus-plus fastball velo (mid-90s, max 98 MPH)
- Hammer curveball misses bats
- Could move quickly
Weaknesses
- No third pitch
- Command/control still big question mark
- Short track record
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Fastball | 60 | 70 |
| Curveball | 55 | 60 |
| Command/Control | 30 | 40 |
| Delivery | 30 | 45 |
| FV/Risk | 40 | High |
31. C Jesus Galiz
| Height | Weight | Age | Best Tool | Acquired | Role | 2021 Location | ETA |
| 6’0 | 183 | 17 | Hit | IFA: Venezuela, ’21 | Starting Catcher | DSL Dodgers/AZL Dodgers | 2026 |
Strengths
- High baseball IQ
- Above-average contact ability
- Strong arm
Weaknesses
- Undersized (but could still grow)
- Power potential, but not there yet
- No pro experience
| Tool | Present | Future |
| Hit | 25 | 55 |
| Power | 20 | 50 |
| Speed | 45 | 40 |
| Defense | 30 | 60 |
| Arm | 45 | 60 |
| FV/Risk | 45 | Extreme |
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Next Up: Prospects 30-21
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